Baiano 1 . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Vitória vs Colo Colo BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CON
83%
12%
4%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SDJ
0 - 0
VIT
9%
19%
72%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 3
VIT
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Colo Colo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 1
COL
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
FEI
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
COL
85%
12%
4%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |