Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 3-3
Vitória vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
OES
1 - 2
VIT
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
VIT
24%
25%
52%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
ANA
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
CEA
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
ASA
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
VIT
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 1
CRB
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 0
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 1
ASA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |