Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 1-4
Vitória Setúbal vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
VST
70%
16%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1962 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1962 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
76%
14%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
VST
2 - 0
LEX
53%
20%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
VST
70%
16%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1962 |
ASS
4 - 3
REI
53%
20%
27%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
MPL
4 - 3
ASS
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
SFP
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1962 |
STR
2 - 1
ASS
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |