Vitória Setúbal vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 1
VST
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
VST
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VST
1 - 2
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 0
BOA
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 3
PAÇ
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
ARO
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 1
BEL
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |