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Liga Revelação. Matchday 9

Vitória Setúbal Sub 23 vs Belenenses Sub 23 analysis

Vitória Setúbal Sub 23 Belenenses Sub 23
37 ELO 37
96% Tilt -26%
29628º General ELO ranking 3618º
461º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
77.8%
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
13.9%
Draw
8.3%
Belenenses Sub 23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.3%
Win probability
Belenenses Sub 23
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
+77%
+14%
Belenenses Sub 23

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rio Ave Sub 23
52
52
100%
Estoril Sub 23
50
50
100%
Desportivo Aves Sub 23
47
47
33%
Benfica Sub 23
47
47
33%
Sporting CP Sub 23
47
47
33%
Braga Sub 23
45
45
100%
Vitória Guimarães Sub 23
44
44
100%
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
32
32
100%
Maritimo Sub 23
31
31
100%
Belenenses Sub 23
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Academica Sub 23
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Portimonense Sub 23
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Feirense Sub 23
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Cova da Piedade Sub 23
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
Belenenses Sub 23
Champion
0% 0%
Title playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
SET
Belenenses Sub 23
BEL
Academica Sub 23
ACA
Sporting CP Sub 23
SPO
Rio Ave Sub 23
RIO
Maritimo Sub 23
MAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
1%
X%
2%
ELO SET ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2018
EST
Estoril Sub 23
1 - 0
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
SET
44%
27%
29%
532 526 -6 -3
25 Sep. 2018
SET
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
1 - 0
Rio Ave Sub 23
RIO
44%
27%
29%
529 534 -5 +3
21 Sep. 2018
POR
Portimonense Sub 23
1 - 3
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
SET
44%
27%
29%
525 520 -5 +4
15 Sep. 2018
SET
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
1 - 2
Cova da Piedade Sub 23
CDP
47%
27%
26%
528 515 13 -3
01 Sep. 2018
GUI
Vitória Guimarães Sub 23
2 - 3
Vitória Setúbal Sub 23
SET
44%
27%
29%
525 523 -2 +3

Matches

Belenenses Sub 23
Belenenses Sub 23
1%
X%
2%
ELO BEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2018
BEL
Belenenses Sub 23
1 - 1
Braga Sub 23
BRA
44%
27%
29%
526 532 -6 0
25 Sep. 2018
AVE
Desportivo Aves Sub 23
4 - 1
Belenenses Sub 23
BEL
47%
27%
26%
530 536 6 -4
22 Sep. 2018
BEL
Belenenses Sub 23
2 - 2
Maritimo Sub 23
MAR
47%
27%
26%
530 520 10 0
15 Sep. 2018
FEI
Feirense Sub 23
0 - 1
Belenenses Sub 23
BEL
44%
27%
29%
528 516 -12 +3
04 Sep. 2018
EST
Estoril Sub 23
1 - 1
Belenenses Sub 23
BEL
44%
27%
29%
528 528 0 0