Vitória Guimarães vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
OLH
1 - 2
VIT
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
BMA
69%
21%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 1
PAÇ
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
GFC
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OLH
1 - 2
PAÇ
24%
28%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |