Vitória da Conquista vs Doce Mel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
4 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
28%
27%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
AFP
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Doce Mel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 2
BAH
3%
10%
87%
|
26 | 76 | 50 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ADA
2 - 2
VIT
6%
12%
82%
|
26 | 64 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 4
ADA
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 0
ADA
88%
10%
2%
|
23 | 79 | 56 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ADA
0 - 0
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +2 |