Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VVV
2 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TWE
2 - 3
WIL
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |