Eredivisie Eredivisie Round 17

Vitesse vs NAC Breda analysis

Vitesse NAC Breda
80 ELO 71
10.2% Tilt 20%
1139º General ELO ranking 615º
31º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Vitesse
20.1%
Draw
14.8%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
Vitesse
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.8%
Win probability
NAC Breda
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitesse
+2%
-8%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

Vitesse
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitesse
Vitesse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2013
PSV
PSV
2 - 6
Vitesse
VIT
65%
19%
16%
79 86 7 0
01 Dec. 2013
VIT
Vitesse
3 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
61%
21%
18%
79 71 8 0
24 Nov. 2013
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 3
Vitesse
VIT
30%
25%
45%
79 69 10 0
09 Nov. 2013
VIT
Vitesse
3 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
50%
25%
26%
78 77 1 +1
02 Nov. 2013
AJA
Ajax
0 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
67%
19%
15%
77 87 10 +1

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2013
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
75%
16%
9%
71 88 17 0
30 Nov. 2013
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 2
Groningen
GRO
41%
26%
34%
71 73 2 0
24 Nov. 2013
TWE
Twente
5 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
65%
21%
14%
72 84 12 -1
10 Nov. 2013
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
18%
22%
60%
71 87 16 +1
01 Nov. 2013
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
3 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
41%
26%
33%
72 67 5 -1