Vitesse vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 1
VIT
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
BVO
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 0
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
RJC
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
VIT
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 3
ZWO
28%
26%
47%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |