Vitesse vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 0
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
FEY
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 1
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCD
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 2
GRO
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 4
TWE
23%
25%
53%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 0
TWE
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |