Vitesse vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
FOR
0 - 4
VIT
41%
29%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
VIT
1 - 3
RJC
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
SCP
2 - 1
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
TWE
2 - 1
SVV
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SPA
1 - 3
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
SCH
0 - 1
TWE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1991 |
TWE
1 - 1
RKC
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
TWE
0 - 2
PSV
17%
25%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |