Vitesse vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 1
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
BVO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |