Vitesse vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
RKC
3 - 1
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 0
RJC
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 0
VIT
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 1
NEC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |