AC Virtus vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
JUV
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
TFI
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 5
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
MUR
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 2
COS
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 3
TFI
28%
27%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -2 |