Virtus vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TPE
4 - 1
VIR
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 1
SGI
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 3
FOL
19%
25%
55%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CAI
3 - 0
VIR
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIR
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FAE
3 - 2
CAI
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 4
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 1
FAE
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 3
CAI
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |