Virtus Verona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
VIR
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
SSS
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
VIR
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 3
PRG
13%
24%
63%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIR
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
LEG
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MOD
21%
29%
51%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 1
ARZ
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
MOD
29%
31%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |