Virtus Entella vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 2
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ACD
4 - 0
ASG
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
TER
0 - 2
ACD
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ACD
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ACD
0 - 1
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PON
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PES
4 - 2
MON
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 3
REG
20%
26%
55%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 0
MON
53%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |