Virtus Castelfranco vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
VIR
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
JMO
52%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
THE
2 - 1
VIR
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 3
ROM
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 1
VIR
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIM
3 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 1
RIM
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
FID
1 - 1
RIM
14%
23%
64%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 0
MEZ
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 0
ABA
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |