Virtus Casarano vs USD Bitonto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIR
24%
22%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
USB
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
4 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
PVM
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
ASD
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
USB
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
ASF
59%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HYR
1 - 2
USB
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
ASD
81%
12%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |