Legacy 76 vs FC Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legacy 76
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
NVU
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 9
FRE
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FRE
7 - 0
VIL
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARO
25%
21%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 4
VIR
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
FRE
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
VIR
66%
17%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NVU
3 - 0
BAL
34%
22%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 0
BAL
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 5
BAL
32%
22%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |