La Virgen del Camino vs Ponferradina B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
7º
39
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Virgen del Camino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ACF
1 - 0
LVC
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LVC
1 - 1
AST
32%
26%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 0
LVC
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LVC
1 - 0
NUM
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEC
2 - 1
LVC
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
LEO
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STM
0 - 4
PON
19%
24%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
3 - 0
SDA
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 3
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
AVI
29%
26%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |