Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 2-1
Villarreal vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 3
DEP
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
REC
1 - 0
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
UDL
77%
16%
6%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
REC
61%
23%
16%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VAD
3 - 1
REC
44%
28%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
REC
1 - 0
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
XER
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
REC
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |