Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 3-1
Villarreal vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.4%
4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
SEV
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
AST
2 - 3
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 1
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAL
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
SLP
0 - 2
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BOU
4 - 1
PON
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PON
1 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ATB
2 - 1
PON
26%
29%
46%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PON
4 - 0
ADA
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SEG
0 - 0
PON
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |