Villarreal vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 2
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
NAP
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
VIL
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
GET
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
FCB
8%
16%
76%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |