Villanueva CF vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
54.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VIL
1 - 3
FUE
44%
27%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CDE
0 - 0
VIL
56%
25%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 0
HUE
12%
21%
67%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SAR
2 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
REC
1 - 2
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ATM
1 - 1
REC
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
REC
0 - 3
CEL
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VCF
3 - 0
REC
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
REC
2 - 3
MAL
29%
28%
44%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |