Villalvernia vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villalvernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAS
2 - 5
VIL
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 1
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
SCH
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
VER
1 - 2
NOV
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
LAS
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 3
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |