Villafranco vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIS
0 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIL
43%
27%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
EGA
66%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 1
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 1
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VIS
40%
27%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |