Villafranca vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
CER
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACE
6 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
SCA
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
OLG
3 - 0
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
ROS
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 4
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |