Villafranca vs Ambrosiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 1
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUI
88%
9%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ACE
3 - 3
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEL
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GSD
1 - 1
LEG
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
GSD
43%
23%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
GSD
1 - 1
SDA
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
GSD
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GSD
2 - 1
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |