Villafranca vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LEG
0 - 0
VIL
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VIG
1 - 2
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 2
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAN
7%
17%
76%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
MES
10%
20%
71%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
BEL
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |