Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
LAM
3 - 1
VSC
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
VSC
0 - 0
ALE
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
LUJ
2 - 1
VSC
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VSC
0 - 0
ITA
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
SBA
0 - 2
VSC
32%
26%
43%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAÑ
2 - 2
EXC
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 0
MID
47%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 1
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |