Villa San Carlos vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
VSC
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
ACA
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 0
VSC
18%
27%
55%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
VSC
0 - 0
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
VSC
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 1
ARM
15%
24%
60%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
BAR
12%
25%
63%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 3
DEF
77%
17%
7%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIE
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
MID
72%
20%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |