Villa Nova vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
5 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALA
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BAH
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAL
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
PAL
64%
23%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 0
CAL
52%
25%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |