Vilhenense vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 4
FAS
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
VIL
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
IND
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 2
RIO
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
BPA
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
BPA
2 - 1
RIO
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
4 - 1
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |