ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
25.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BDP
1 - 2
VIL
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
FER
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TEX
0 - 0
VIL
29%
30%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
FCC
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
HCB
1 - 0
VIL
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 0
FER
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
IDX
1 - 0
FEN
47%
30%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 0
TEX
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
0 - 1
LIG
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
MAX
0 - 1
FEN
47%
29%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |