Vila Real vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
PED
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 0
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAL
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 0
COI
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GON
0 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PED
0 - 1
TRO
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |