Vila Nova vs Jataiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MIN
3 - 1
VIL
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
ANA
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 1
ITU
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 1
VIL
20%
21%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 5
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Jataiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
JAT
1 - 0
APA
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CRA
1 - 1
JAT
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GOI
0 - 1
JAT
89%
9%
3%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
JAT
0 - 0
ATL
17%
22%
62%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
JAT
4 - 1
ITU
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |