Vila Nova vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 3
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
MAD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
CAX
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 0
MOG
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
0 - 1
CAX
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |