Viktoria Köln vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 4
VIK
25%
24%
52%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
VIK
2 - 2
ERN
86%
10%
5%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 0
VIK
30%
25%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VIK
4 - 2
AAA
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
WIE
1 - 3
VIK
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 2
ROD
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
BOR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WER
3 - 4
BOR
12%
21%
68%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 2
ROT
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |