Viktoria Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
82.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
VIK
0 - 2
LOK
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 0
VIK
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
VIK
2 - 0
ERF
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
VIK
1 - 3
ERZ
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
VIK
4 - 1
VFB
78%
14%
9%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
RTV
3 - 3
ARB
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
VER
1 - 2
ARB
5%
12%
83%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 3
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 2
NOR
34%
25%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |