Regionalliga Bayern Round 8

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Buchbach analysis

Viktoria Aschaffenburg Buchbach
44 ELO 44
11.7% Tilt 21%
3936º General ELO ranking 2232º
173º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
48.8%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
22.9%
Draw
28.2%
Buchbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.2%
Win probability
Buchbach
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
-21%
+15%
Buchbach

ELO progression

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Buchbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2015
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
4 - 2
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
63%
20%
17%
43 37 6 0
22 Aug. 2015
186
1860 München II
4 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
52%
23%
25%
44 50 6 -1
14 Aug. 2015
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
44%
24%
32%
44 47 3 0
08 Aug. 2015
ILL
Illertissen
4 - 3
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
39%
24%
37%
45 44 1 -1
01 Aug. 2015
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 1
Amberg
AMB
49%
24%
27%
45 46 1 0

Matches

Buchbach
Buchbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2015
BUC
Buchbach
2 - 4
Nürnberg II
NUR
49%
24%
27%
46 46 0 0
15 Aug. 2015
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 1
Buchbach
BUC
27%
24%
49%
46 37 9 0
07 Aug. 2015
BUC
Buchbach
1 - 1
Memmingen
MEM
53%
23%
24%
46 45 1 0
24 Jul. 2015
BUC
Buchbach
0 - 2
Schalding-Heining
SCH
69%
18%
12%
47 38 9 -1
21 Jul. 2015
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
3 - 2
Buchbach
BUC
50%
24%
26%
48 51 3 -1