Victoriano Arenas vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
YUP
0 - 1
VIC
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
JUU
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DPA
1 - 0
LUG
31%
27%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
DPA
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DPA
1 - 3
JUU
39%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
DPA
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DPA
0 - 2
SMA
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |