Vicenza vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 2
VIC
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
CRO
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
VIC
51%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 1
PRG
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 2
CTT
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 0
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
VIR
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |