Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Vicenza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 0
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
VIC
23%
26%
50%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 0
VIC
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 2
JS2
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
CES
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CES
2 - 0
VIS
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SDT
1 - 6
CES
14%
25%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 0
OLB
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |