Marburg vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 2
KKA
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 3
MAR
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
BHE
2 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
SGH
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VFU
1 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1999 |
FVB
0 - 0
VFB
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
KKA
1 - 1
FVB
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
SCN
2 - 0
FVB
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
FVB
0 - 0
BRA
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
JUG
1 - 0
FVB
34%
25%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |