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3. Liga. Matchday 8

Verl vs Zwickau analysis

Verl Zwickau
36 ELO 42
13% Tilt 61%
3496º General ELO ranking 2582º
158º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
32.7%
Verl
23%
Draw
44.3%
Zwickau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
Verl
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.3%
Win probability
Zwickau
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Verl
+70%
+7%
Zwickau

Basic stats

57
43
POS
10
8
SOT
8
7
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
18
15
FRK
36
42
ELO
1.5
1.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Verl
Their league position
Zwickau
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
51
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dynamo Dresden
75
75
100%
Hansa Rostock
71
71
50%
Ingolstadt 04
71
71
50%
1860 München
66
66
100%
Saarbrücken
59
59
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
56
56
100%
Verl
55
55
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
52
52
50%
Hallescher FC
52
52
50%
Zwickau
10º
51
51
10º
33%
Magdeburg
11º
51
51
11º
33%
Viktoria Köln
12º
51
51
12º
33%
Türkgücü München
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Kaiserslautern
14º
43
43
14º
50%
MSV Duisburg
15º
43
43
15º
50%
KFC Uerdingen 05
16º
41
41
16º
50%
Meppen
17º
41
41
17º
50%
Bayern München II
18º
37
37
18º
100%
VfB Lübeck
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Unterhaching
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Verl
Zwickau
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Verl
VER
Zwickau
ZWI
Unterhaching
UNT
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
MSV Duisburg
MSV
Viktoria Köln
VIK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Verl
Verl
1%
X%
2%
ELO VER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
SAA
Saarbrücken
1 - 2
Verl
VER
51%
25%
24%
463 728 265 +4
20 Oct. 2020
VER
Verl
3 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
35%
27%
38%
457 987 -530 +6
17 Oct. 2020
ING
Ingolstadt 04
2 - 1
Verl
VER
58%
22%
20%
458 1065 607 -2
10 Oct. 2020
VER
Verl
2 - 3
Hansa Rostock
ROS
37%
28%
35%
495 834 -339 -2
03 Oct. 2020
MEP
Meppen
1 - 2
Verl
VER
47%
27%
26%
492 608 116 +3

Matches

Zwickau
Zwickau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZWI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2020
ZWI
Zwickau
0 - 1
Türkgücü München
TAM
49%
26%
25%
746 659 87 0
20 Oct. 2020
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
1 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
45%
27%
28%
743 722 -21 +3
17 Oct. 2020
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 2
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
51%
26%
23%
747 615 132 -3
12 Oct. 2020
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
46%
27%
26%
668 711 43 +5
07 Oct. 2020
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
39%
27%
34%
672 402 -270 -4