Verl vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KMA
0 - 0
VER
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
WUP
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ROD
0 - 0
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
VER
3 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
WIE
1 - 1
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DIE
0 - 0
LIP
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 0
DIE
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DIE
3 - 3
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
DIE
1 - 2
BSC
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
KMA
1 - 1
DIE
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |