Verín vs Caselas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UDA
3 - 0
VER
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
EST
20%
25%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SDN
4 - 0
VER
57%
22%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
ALE
42%
23%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOA
1 - 2
VER
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 4
SDN
37%
25%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
ALE
57%
19%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MOA
2 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
6 - 2
ARE
19%
23%
58%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |