Vereya vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vereya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 0
VER
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
VER
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
VER
0 - 0
LUD
9%
19%
73%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
SSO
4 - 0
VER
74%
18%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VER
0 - 1
CSK
7%
20%
73%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CVA
1 - 0
LUD
18%
24%
57%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
SSO
3 - 2
CVA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CVA
2 - 0
CSK
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
CVA
2 - 0
VAR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FKV
1 - 1
CVA
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |